Resources

Guides and strategies for winning federal government contracts — backed by data from 23M+ contract awards.

Live Data

20 Most Vulnerable Federal Contracts Expiring in the Next 12 Months

A live snapshot of the 20 highest-vulnerability federal re-competes ending soon. DoD, NASA, USAID, and others — incumbents named, values disclosed, all scored 50+.

Research

The Set-Aside Rotation Cliff: $24.3B Turning Over Through FY27

$24.3B of Small Business, 8(a), SDVOSB, WOSB, and HUBZone contracts expire FY26-27. 25% will rotate to a different set-aside on recompete — here are the flows.

Research

Where Real Competition Lives: Offers Per Bid Across 653,735 Federal Contracts

29% of federal contracts get exactly one offer. Some NAICS codes average 90+ offers per bid; others average 1.00. Complete breakdown of federal procurement competition.

Research

The $75.6B Federal Contract Cliff: 6,756 Re-competes Expiring in 2027

6,756 federal contracts worth $75.6B end in 2027. DoD alone accounts for $42B. Full breakdown by agency, NAICS, and set-aside — and where displacement is actually likely.

Research

A Customer Made Us Rewrite Our Displacement Number. He Was Right.

After segmenting 27,004 matched re-competes into structural vs. competitive losses, the true competitive displacement rate is 20.5% — not the 30.2% raw rate. FY-quarterly breakdown included.

Research

22.5% of Federal Contracts Get Re-competed Away: Backtest of 9,872 Awards

Backtested analysis shows incumbents only retain 77.5% of re-competes. Breakdown by vulnerability score — higher scores correlate with higher displacement.

Cybersecurity

Federal Cybersecurity Spending: $35B Across 10 Agencies

Where federal cyber dollars flow. DoD alone is 44% of federal cyber spending. DHS and HHS grow fastest. 51,000+ contracts analyzed.

Agency Analysis

DoD vs DOJ: Two Completely Different Federal Worlds

Side-by-side comparison of two major agencies. Why your DoD past performance doesn't translate to DOJ — and vice versa. NAICS mix, vendor profiles, buying patterns.

Set-Asides

Top 20 8(a) Set-Aside Winners You've Never Heard Of

The hidden powerhouses of the 8(a) program. $1.6B for #1, most names unfamiliar. Alaska Native Corps and tribal 8(a) firms dominate.

VA

VA Medical Contract Intelligence: The $70B Market

Breakdown of VA healthcare contract spending. McKesson holds $42B alone. Where real competition happens — clinical services, staffing, medical supplies.

DoD

The Top 15 Small Business DoD Contractors of 2026

Data-backed list of small businesses pulling in $100M+ in Department of Defense awards. Based on 460,000+ DoD contracts across FY2021-2026.

Re-competes

10 Most Vulnerable Federal Contracts Expiring in 2027

A data-backed look at federal contracts ending in 2027 where the incumbent appears most vulnerable to displacement.

NAICS Deep Dive

NAICS 541611: The $14.5B Federal Management Consulting Market

Deep dive on federal management consulting. 50,301 awards, 6,077 vendors, pricing benchmarks by fiscal year, top agencies and vendors.

Automation

Where RPA Money Flows in Federal Contracts: 158 Active Re-competes

158 active re-compete candidates totaling $213M across 10 agencies. DoD leads, HHS grows fastest. Where to position for federal automation work.

Strategy

How to Win Government Contracts in 2026: A Data-Driven Guide

Most contractors focus on finding opportunities. Winners focus on the data behind the decision. Here's how to use award intelligence to improve your win rate.

Re-competes

Federal Re-compete Strategy: The $180B Opportunity Most Contractors Miss

38% of challengers win recompetes vs. 12% on net-new bids. Learn how to identify vulnerable incumbents and time your capture strategy.

Pricing

Price-to-Win: How to Bid Government Contracts With Confidence

Stop guessing. Use historical award data and percentile benchmarks to find the sweet spot that wins without leaving money on the table.

Reference

NAICS Codes for Government Contracting: Complete Guide

Every federal contract is tagged with a NAICS code. Understanding how they work is essential for finding opportunities and sizing your market.

Certifications

Small Business Certifications: 8(a), HUBZone, WOSB, SDVOSB Explained

Federal set-asides reserve 23% of contract dollars for small businesses. Here's which certifications matter and how they affect your win rate.